Listing of 2024 mayoral elections and who’s polled to win

Voters will go to the polls this Thursday 2 Might for the 2024 native and mayoral elections, offering the ultimate main check of public opinion forward of the final election. 9 mixed authority mayors throughout the nation together with the Mayor of London can be chosen, with sure outcomes set to shift the narrative for Rishi Sunak. 

Here’s a record of the upcoming mayoral elections and, the newest polling, how the race is predicted to go together with those to be careful for.

Mayor of Tees Valley

That is set to be an attention-grabbing and doubtlessly vital race. The incumbent Tees Valley mayor, Conservative Ben Houchen is hoping to carry onto his seat, with latest YouGov polling placing him simply forward of his Labour rival Chris McEwan.

Present voting intentions are 51% for the Conservative in comparison with 44% for Labour, with Houchen solely forward by the slimmest margin, which compares to his whopping 73% win in 2021 when he was re-elected after first changing into mayor in 2017. 

It’s thought that if the Tory candidates lose within the Tees Valley and West Midlands (see beneath) then Tory rebels may attempt oust Sunak, so Westminster is paying shut consideration right here. 

Mayor of the West Midlands

Set to be one of many greatest regional contests together with Tees Valley, Rishi Sunak can be crossing his fingers on Friday within the hope that Andy Road manages to safe a 3rd time period as West Midlands mayor. 

YouGov mentioned the race between the Conservative and Labour candidates is presently too near name, with Road on 41% of votes, and Richard Parker for Labour on 39%. Andy Road has purposefully tried to distance himself from the Tory Occasion in an try to guard his picture from the social gathering’s unpopularity. 

Mayor of the North East

The North East will see one other shut contest this time between Labour candidate Kim McGuinness and Unbiased Jamie Driscoll, who’re neck-and-neck within the polls.

Driscoll, who was blocked from being Labour’s consultant which noticed him subsequently give up the social gathering, is the left-wing mayor of North of Tyne who has garnered strong backing from progressives such because the RMT union, journalist Owen Jones and local weather campaigners. 

Polling by Extra in Frequent places McGuinness with a 2% lead on Driscoll, as voting intentions for Labour sit at 35% in comparison with 33% for the Unbiased candidate. 

Inexperienced New Deal Rising mentioned a win for the socialist and environmentalist Driscoll would, “trigger a political earthquake – forcing Keir Starmer and the Westminster institution to vary course forward of the Normal Election”.

Mayor of Larger Manchester

Andy Burnham the present Labour mayor for Larger Manchester is anticipated to cruise into a 3rd time period with round two-thirds of the vote, with approval scores that experience larger than most nationwide politicians. 

The most recent ballot by Extra in Frequent put Burnham on 63% of the vote, near his efficiency within the 2021 election. What’s attention-grabbing is that Reform UK’s candidate Dan Barker is polling second on 12% of the vote, with the Tories 3% behind, a marker of the right-wing social gathering’s rise within the space. 

Mayor of East Midlands 

Labour are on the right track to win in what’s the first vote for mayor of the East Midlands. Claire Ward for Labour is on 41% of the vote and Conservative Ben Bradley is on 28%. 

Right here Reform UK additionally seems to nab some earlier Tory voters, as Extra in Frequent voting intentions present that 24% of those that voted Conservative in 2019 now intend to vote Reform within the East Midlands. 

Mayor of Liverpool Metropolis Area 

Incumbent Labour mayor Steve Rotheram, earlier MP for Liverpool Walton, is standing for a 3rd time period within the Liverpool Metropolis Area. There isn’t any present polling on voting intentions right here however Rotheram beforehand acquired 58% of first-preference votes in 2021, whereas his 2024 Conservative rival Jade Marsden beforehand acquired simply 20% of first-preference votes. 

Mayor of York and North Yorkshire

With the primary ever mayoral election right here the area, which encompasses the Prime Minister’s Richmond constituency, has historically been protected Tory territory. However Politico has been advised by a Labour staffer that the competition is “neck-and-neck” between Tory candidate Keane Duncan and Labour’s David Saith. 

Politico additionally highlighted that there was not a single point out or {photograph} of Sunak on Duncan’s marketing campaign web page, a burn for the PM. Labour Shadow Cupboard ministers are within the space right now to drum up help for the Labour candidate, as a defeat for the Conservatives right here would counsel the social gathering is protected nearly nowhere. 

Mayor of South Yorkshire 

Incumbent mayor Oliver Coppard is standing for re-election representing Labour. The Labour Occasion is the dominant political social gathering within the area with Coppard trying to be re-elected for a second time period. 

Mayor of West Yorkshire

The primary lady to be elected as a metro mayor in England is in search of re-election in West Yorkshire. Tracy Brabin represents Labour and was first elected in Might 2021 on 60% of the vote. Within the Labour robust area she seems more likely to retain her place. 

Mayor of London 

Vying for a 3rd time period as mayor, Labour’s Sadiq Khan has held a lead over Tory rival Susan Corridor within the 2024 London mayoral election race to this point, nonetheless the newest polling reveals his lead has narrowed lately. 

 In response to Savanta polling Khan holds a 13pt lead, with voting intentions in London placing Khan at 46% with Corridor at 33%, along with her vote up 5% from polling every week earlier.

The federal government switched the mayoral voting system to First Previous the Publish which is an added problem for Labour, whereas the character primarily based premise of mayoral elections marks their distinction from nationwide social gathering voting polls.

Hannah Davenport is information reporter at Left Foot Ahead

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