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Polling knowledgeable Sir John Curtice has steered that Britain may have one other referendum on becoming a member of the EU earlier than 2040, given the dimensions of dissatisfaction with the choice to go away the EU.
Curtice, who’s at present Professor of Politics on the College of Strathclyde, made the feedback when chatting with a UK in a Altering Europe occasion on Wednesday night and stated: “I feel the 2016 referendum goes to be as unsuccessful because the 1975 one.”
He went on so as to add that the timescale “relies upon very a lot on unsure politics”.
He stated: “I wouldn’t be shocked if it occurs earlier than 2040.”
“In case you look up to now at what has occurred to attitudes and should you take a look at the age profile of attitudes in the direction of Brexit, you’ll be able to see why…”
Opinion polls have proven {that a} majority of the British public need to re-join the EU, with one opinion ballot for YouGov placing help for re-joining the EU at 63%. An Omnisis ballot final yr discovered that 62% of individuals wished the nation to re-join the European Union.
On the subject of age demographics, polls typically present that round 70-75% of voters underneath 25s voted Stay. In the meantime, over-65s had been greater than twice as doubtless as under-25s to have voted to Go away the European Union.
Professor Curtice stated: “Loads will even occur when it comes to how does our relationship with the EU evolve, to what extent does the following Labour authorities soften it, or not.
“One of many issues to understand is that the Labour Social gathering goes to get elected by an voters which is three-quarters anti-Brexit.”
He went on to say: “One of many nice ironies of the entire scenario of the place we’re at, is that the celebration that has tried the toughest to alter the Brexit profile of its help has succeeded the least.
“Labour’s vote is sort of as anti-Brexit because it was again in 2019.
“I feel it’s not unlikely that the following Labour authorities goes to hit political bother pretty early on as a result of I feel it’s a horrible, horrible legacy that they’re going to inherit.
“Then they’ve to consider methods to maintain their voters on board – a variety of voters can be hoping {that a} Labour authorities would do one thing in regards to the EU, which is maybe reasonably greater than what the Labour celebration is at present saying it desires to do with the EU.”
Basit Mahmood is editor of Left Foot Ahead
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The publish Polling expert predicts the date of the next EU Referendum and it’s sooner than you might think! appeared first on Left Foot Forward: Leading the UK's progressive debate.
